Rice and Corn Situation and Outlook, October 2017

Probable palay production for October-December 2017 may surpass the 2016 level by 6.26 percent, while, corn production may decline by 5.41 percent.  The anticipated increment in output may be attributed to the increase in yield resulting from sustained use of high yielding varieties coupled with sufficient water supply during the early stages of crop development. Cutback in corn areas are foreseen due to shifting of crops, inadequate supply of quality seeds and unrealized plantings caused by often occurrence of rains. 
Palay and corn production for calendar year 2017 may rise by 10.11 percent and 9.72 percent, respectively as compared to 2016 level. 
Based on farmers’ planting intentions, probable production of palay and corn for January-March 2018 based on farmers’ planting intentions may incur positive growths of 2.58 percent and 5.45 percent, respectively.


The July-September 2017 palay production at 3.39 million MT rose by 14.17 percent from the output of 2.97 million MT recorded in the same quarter of previous year. Harvest area expanded by 14.43 percent from last year’s level of 745 thousand hectares to 853 thousand hectares this year. Yield per hectare remained at 3.98 MT from the previous year’s level (Table 1.3).
  • Addition in output were notable in Cagayan Valley (1.54 percent), Central Luzon (2.73 percent), MIMAROPA (1.40 percent), Western Visayas (6.06 percent), and SOCCSKSARGEN (1.27 percent).
    • Increases in harvest areas across regions were attributed mainly on sufficient water supply and government interventions on the provision of high yielding varieties seeds and fertilizer support during the cropping period.