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Release Date :
Reference Number :
2015-063


Year-on-Year Inflation Rates, All Items
Jul 2015 Jun 2015 Jul 2014 Year-to-date
Philippines
Headline 0.8 1.2 4.9 1.9
Core 1.9 2.0 3.0 2.3
NCR
Headline 0.8 0.6 3.9 1.4
AONCR
Headline 0.8 1.4 5.1 2.0

  • The country’s headline inflation continued its downward trend as it settled to a growth of 0.8 percent in July 2015. Last month, it moved by 1.2 percent and in July 2014, 4.9 percent. Negative annual rates were seen in the indices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels and transport. The indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages; furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house; health; and education also slowed down.

  • Excluding selected food and energy items, core inflation further decelerated to 1.9 percent in July. It was pegged at 2.0 percent in June and 3.0 percent in July 2014.

    • Inflation however, went up in NCR at 0.8 percent in July. It was posted at 0.6 percent last month and 3.9 percent during the same period in 2014. Higher annual growths were recorded in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages; clothing and footwear; and communication.

    • Following the same trend at the national level, inflation in Areas Outside NCR (AONCR) further eased to 0.8 percent in July. Inflation was observed at 1.4 percent last month and 5.1 percent in July 2014. The indices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels; transport; and communication declined. In addition, lower annual increments were noticed in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages; clothing and footwear; health; and education.

    Year-on-Year Inflation Rates in the Philippines, All Items
    January 2010 - July 2015
    (2006=100)

    Month

    Year

    2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
    January

    3.9

    4.0

    4.0

    3.1 4.2 2.4
    February

    3.9

    4.7 2.7 3.4 4.1 2.5
    March

    3.9

    4.9 2.6 3.2 3.9 2.4
    April 4.0 4.7 3.0 2.6 4.1 2.2
    May 3.9 4.9 3.0 2.6 4.5 1.6
    June 3.6 5.2 2.9 2.7 4.4 1.2
    July 3.7 4.9 3.2 2.5 4.9 0.8
    August 4.1 4.6 3.8 2.1 4.9
    September 3.8 4.7 3.7 2.7 4.4
    October 3.3 5.2 3.2 2.9 4.3
    November 3.7 4.7 2.8 3.3 3.7
    December 3.6 4.2 3.0 4.1 2.7
    Average 3.8 4.6 3.2 3.0 4.1

    Month-on-Month Inflation Rates, All Items
    (2006=100)
    Jul 2015 Jun 2015
    Philippines 0.1 0.1
    NCR 0.5 0.1
    AONCR 0.1 0.1

    • The country’s consumer prices inched up 0.1 percent in July 2015, the same rate posted last month. Price increases were registered in corn, meat, eggs, vegetables and sugar. Prices of selected items for personal hygiene and effects, medicines and clothing and footwear items also went up during the month. Higher charges for selected services items such as medical, hospital, personal care, cleaning and sewing for clothing were also noted in some regions.


      CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
      (2006=100)
      JULY 2015

    By Region, Year-on-Year

    • Inflation in NCR rose to 0.8 percent in July.
    • Meanwhile, inflation in AONCR further improved to 0.8 percent in July as 11 regions had lower annual growths. The highest inflation remained in Davao Region at 2.6 percent. CALABARZON recorded a zero growth due to offsetting trends among the commodity groups.

    By Commodity Group, Year-on-Year

    • The annual change in housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels and transport indices at the national level correspondingly went down by 1.1 percent and -0.5 percent in July. Moreover, slower annual mark-ups were observed in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages at 1.3 percent; furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house, 1.8 percent; health, 1.9 percent; and education, 3.5 percent. The clothing and footwear index however, increased faster at 2.6 percent. The rest of the commodity groups retained their last month’s rate with the communication index having a zero growth.

    • The annual adjustment of the country’s food alone index further eased to 1.3 percent in July. Last month, it exhibited an annual rate of 2.1 percent and in July 2014, 8.7 percent.

    • On an annual basis, the vegetable index further decreased by 3.6 percent in July. In addition, the indices of corn and oils and fats dropped by 0.5 percent and -0.3 percent, respectively. Except for the index of meat, all the other food groups had lower annual rates. The meat index retained its last month’s rate.

    • In NCR, the annual gain in the heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages was higher at 1.6 percent in July; clothing and footwear index, 3.1 percent; and communication index, 0.2 percent. The other commodity groups either had slower annual growths or retained their last month’s rate except for the index of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels which continued to drop at -1.3 percent.

      • The food alone index in NCR moved up by 1.6 percent in July. It grew by 0.8 percent last month and 8.2 percent in July 2014.

      • Bigger annual increments were seen in the indices of corn, meat and vegetables. Annual declines or slower annual add-ons were however, recorded in the rest of the food groups except for the index of other cereal, flour, cereal preparation, bread, pasta and other bakery products which retained its previous month’s figure of 1.5 percent.

    • In AONCR, annual decreases were still posted in the indices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels at -1.1 percent; transport, -0.9 percent; and communication, -0.2 percent. In addition, the food and non-alcoholic beverages index slowed to 1.2 percent; clothing and footwear index, 2.3 percent; health index, 1.7 percent; and education index, 3.0 percent. On the other hand, the index for restaurant and miscellaneous goods and services had a higher annual growth of 1.6 percent while the rest of the commodity groups retained their last month’s rates.
      • The annual growth of the food alone index in AONCR further eased to 1.2 percent in July. Last month, the growth was noted at 2.4 percent and in July 2014, 8.8 percent.

      • The corn index fell by 0.6 percent; oils and fats index, -0.5 percent; and vegetables index, -5.8 percent.

      • The rice index further slackened to 0.2 percent as all the regions continued to have either negative annual rates or slower annual upticks. SOCCSKSARGEN had the lowest rate at -7.6 percent while the highest remained in Central Luzon at 3.2 percent.

    By Region, Month-on-Month

  • Measured from a month ago level, prices of consumer items in NCR generally increased by 0.5 percent. Its growth in June 2015 was 0.1 percent. The index of food and non-alcoholic beverages accelerated by 1.3 percent; clothing and footwear index, 0.6 percent; housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels index, 0.2 percent; health index, 1.0 percent; communication index, 0.1 percent; and restaurant and miscellaneous goods and services index, 0.2 percent. While the transport index dropped by 0.4 percent, the other commodity groups either slowed down or had zero annual growth.

  • Prices of consumer goods in AONCR inched up by 0.1 percent in July. It was same rate registered in June. A higher growth of 0.2 percent was seen in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages; furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house; and health. On the other hand, the indices of clothing and footwear and education slowed to 0.1 percent while the indices for housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels and transport dropped by 0.1 percent and -0.2 percent. The rest of the commodity groups retained their last month’s rate.

  • Nine regions recorded higher rates during the month. The highest month-on-month growth of 0.5 percent was noted in the regions of Zamboanga Peninsula and ARMM. The lowest rate of -0.1 percent was however, noticed in Central Luzon and Northern Mindanao.

  • Prices of consumer items picked up faster in Mindanao compared to those in Luzon and Visayas areas.

  • By Commodity Group, Month-on-Month

    • The country’s consumer prices gained 0.1 percent in July, the same rate posted last month. Higher growths were observed in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages and health at 0.4 percent and communication, 0.1 percent. The indices of recreation and culture and education however, eased to 0.1 percent while the transport index went down by 0.2 percent. The rest of the commodity groups retained their last month’s rate.

      • Vegetables, specifically tomatoes, eggplant, cabbage, bitter gourd, okra, stringbeans, carrot and pechay, were priced higher in most of the regions during the month. The continuous rains brought about by typhoons “Egay” and “Falcon” resulted to difficulty in transporting some vegetables coming from the producing areas to the markets. Moreover, spoilage of some vegetables due to their exposure to continuous rains limited their supplies in the markets. Hence, the vegetables index in NCR jumped in double-digit at 14.7 percent. Likewise, the group’s index in AONCR advanced by 1.1 percent and at the national level, 3.2 percent.

      • Prices of chicken and pork in many regions including NCR went up during the month resulting to lesser supplies in the markets. Increased prices in fresh beef, canned and processed meat were also noticed in many regions. Thus, the meat index climbed 1.9 percent in NCR; 0.4 percent in AONCR; and at the national level, 0.7 percent.

      • Upward adjustments in the prices of corn on the cob raised the corn index in NCR by 2.4 percent. Meanwhile, the general price upticks in corn in many regions were tempered by the lower prices registered in the regions of Central Luzon, CALABARZON and MIMAROPA. Hence, the corn index in AONCR and Philippines moved up at slower pace of 0.6 percent.

      • The increments in the prices of milk, cheese and egg resulted to a 0.1 percent growth in its group’s index in the Philippines and AONCR and 0.2 percent in NCR.

      • Add-ons observed in the index for sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery in NCR at 0.1 percent and AONCR at 0.4 percent were due to higher prices of sugar. At the national level, the group’s index increased by 0.4 percent.

      • The rice index in the Philippines and AONCR fell by 0.1 percent due to lower prices in most of the regions brought about by abundant supplies in the markets. In NCR, a lower monthly growth of 0.1 percent was also noticed as price mark-ups in glutinous rice, regular milled and special rice were softened by the reductions in the prices of NFA and well milled rice.

      • The peak harvest season of calamansi brought enough supplies and together with the improved supplies of ginger they pushed down prices of these items in the markets. Lower prices of sauces in many regions were also noted during the period. These factors resulted to negative rates in the index for food products not elsewhere classified in the three areas: Philippines, -0.7 percent; NCR, -3.3 percent; and AONCR, -0.2 percent.

      • Negative rates were still seen in the fruit index in NCR at -0.5 percent and -0.4 percent in AONCR. Abundant supplies of banana, papaya and pineapple in the markets made their prices cheaper in July. In the Philippines, the group’s index decreased by 0.4 percent.

    • The index for restaurant and miscellaneous goods and services in the three areas inched up by 0.2 percent during the month. This was brought about by the upward adjustments in the prices of selected items for personal care in most of the regions. Charges for selected personal care services in NCR also went up during the month.

    • Price gains in medicines in most of the regions together with higher charges for selected medical services in some province raised the health index by 1.0 percent in NCR; 0.2 percent in AONCR; and 0.4 percent in the Philippines. Increased charges in hospital services in NCR also contributed to the uptrend.

    • The clothing and footwear index in the Philippines rose 0.2 percent; NCR, 0.6 percent; and AONCR, 0.1 percent. This was due to price mark-ups in selected clothing and footwear items in many regions and higher charges for cleaning and sewing services for clothing items in NCR and some provinces.

    • The nationwide series of price rollbacks in gasoline and diesel during the month resulted to a 0.2 percent decline in the transport index in AONCR and -0.4 percent in NCR. Contributing also to the downtrend were lower ship fares in many provinces and price reductions in LPG auto gas in NCR. At the national level, the transport index fell by 0.2 percent.

    Note:

    CPIs and inflation rates by province and selected city are also available upon request at Philippine Statistics Authority, Economic Sector Statistics Services, Economic Indices and Indicators Division (Telephone Numbers: 716-39-35 and 715-33-47).


    (Sgd.) LISA GRACE S. BERSALES, Ph.D.
    National Statistician

    Attachment Size
    PDF Table 1 Monthly CPI for All Income Households in the Philippines by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 6.89 KB
    PDF Table 1A Monthly CPI for All Income Households in NCR by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 7.08 KB
    PDF Table 1B Monthly CPI for All Income Households in Areas Outside NCR by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 6.83 KB
    PDF Table 2 Monthly CPI for All Income Households in the Philippines by Commodity Group 17.53 KB
    PDF Area/Region: (2006=100) 4.75 KB
    PDF Table 3 Month-on-Month Changes of the CPI by Area in Percent: (2006=100) 4.48 KB
    PDF Table 4 Year-on-Year Changes of the CPI by Area in Percent: (2006=100) 9.61 KB
    PDF Table 5 Month-on-Month Changes of the CPI in Percent 11.83 KB
    PDF by Area 10.04 KB
    PDF by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 10.22 KB
    PDF Table 6 Year-on-Year Changes of the CPI in Percent 20.29 KB
    PDF by Area 32.63 KB
    PDF by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 5.28 KB
    PDF Table 7 Month-on-Month Regional Inflation Rates by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 4.79 KB
    PDF Table 8 Year-on-Year Regional Inflation Rates by Commodity Group: (2006=100) 4.93 KB
    PDF Table 9 Regional Month-on-Month Inflation Rates of Selected Food Items: (2006=100) 4.56 KB
    PDF Table 10 Regional Year-on-Year Inflation Rates of Selected Food Items: (2006=100) 4.46 KB
    PDF Table 11 Monthly CPI for Food and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages for All Income Households 13.56 KB
    PDF by Area: (2006=100) 45.48 KB
    PDF Table 12 Month-on-Month Changes of the CPI on Food and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages 43.81 KB
    PDF in Percent: (2006=100) 43.29 KB
    PDF Table 13 Year-on-Year Changes of the CPI on Food and Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages 154.44 KB
    PDF in Percent: (2006=100) 473.65 KB
    PDF Table 14 Monthly Headline and Core CPI for All Income Households in the Philippines: (2006-100) 119.51 KB

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