Population Projection Statistics

Updated Population Projections Based on the Results of 2015 POPCEN

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) releases the updated 2010 Census-based Population Projections using the results of the 2015 Census of Population (POPCEN 2015). This in response to the demands for the latest population estimates at national and sub-national levels to be used as inputs in development plans, policies and programs, market research and analysis, among others.

Highlights of the 2010 Census-Based Population Projections

The population projections for the 80 provinces and two special areas, Cotabato City (located in Maguindanao but is under SOCKSARGEN) and Isabela City (located in Basilan but is under Zamboanga Peninsula), indicate that by 2045, the metropolis of Cebu which includes the cities of Cebu, Lapu-Lapu and Mandaue, will have the largest number of persons with almost 6.0 million, followed by Cavite with 5.2 million, Bulacan (4.5 million), Rizal (4.4 million), Laguna and Negros Occidental (4.3 million each) and Pangasinan (4.0 million).

Ten Regions Expected to Grow Faster Than the National Average

The Philippine population is projected to reach 142 million by 2045. This signifies about 49 million persons added to the country's population from 2010 to 2045, equivalent to an average annual growth rate of 1.21 percent. All regions are expected to increase in population but with varying rates of growth. Ten regions are projected to grow faster than the national average with five of these regions located in Mindanao.

A 142 Million Philippine Population by 2045?

By the year 2045, the Philippine population is projected to increase to 142 million according to the latest 2010 Census-based population projections. Around 50 million people would be added in a span of 35 years. This increase in numbers would take place even if the average annual growth rate is projected to decline significantly, from 1.73 percent during 2010-2015 to 0.65 percent during 2040-2045. The Philippine population grew by 1.9 percent annually during the decade 2000-2010.


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