· Value of Production Index (VaPI) continued to post year-on-year increases both in 1994 and 1985-based series
Value of Production Index (VaPI) of the manufacturing industry in August 2001 registered year-on-year increases both in 1994 and 1985-based series at 15.2 percent and 10.3 percent, respectively, according to the preliminary results of the Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI).
YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES OF VaPI
TOTAL MANUFACTURING
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
15.2
|
8.7
|
1985-based
|
10.3
|
0.1
|
The highest VaPI in the 1994 and 1985-based series were registered in August 2001 at 213.3 and 757.5, respectively (see Fig. 1).
In the 1994-based series, double-digit year-on-year increases were observed from August 2000 to April 2001, June 2001 and August 2001. For 1994 and 1985-based series, the highest year-on-year increases of VaPI were posted in November 2000 at 26.0 percent and 53.1 percent, respectively (see Fig. 2).
Sectors that posted double-digit year-on-year increases both in 1985 and 1994-based series were petroleum products, chemical products, transport equipment, non-metallic mineral products, basic metals and tobacco (see Annex 1-A).
· Volume of Production Index (VoPI) went up
The VoPI made a turn around after posting negative growths since April 2001 in the 1994-based series. It grew by 2.2 percent and 7.7 percent in the 1994-based and 1992-based series, respectively. Among the 20 major sectors in the 1994-based series, footwear and wearing apparel sector posted the highest increase of 59.7 percent, followed by petroleum products at 19.8 percent. Double-digit increases for both series were observed in the following sectors: petroleum products, food manufacturing, chemical products and transport equipment (see Annex 1-B).
YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES OF VoPI
TOTAL MANUFACTURING
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
2.2
|
-4.9
|
1992-based
|
7.7
|
-3.0
|
The highest VoPI in the 1994-based series was observed in October 2000 at 137.5 while in the 1992-based series, the highest VoPI was posted in August 2001 (see Fig. 3).
From August 2000 to August 2001, the highest year-on-year increases were observed in November 2000 at 11.9 percent and 41.4 percent in the 1994-based and 1992-based series, respectively (see Fig. 4).
· Value of net sales slows down
The value of net sales in August 2001 grew by a single-digit at 7.9 percent and 6.8 percent in the 1994-based and 1985-based series, respectively. Petroleum products, food manufacturing, tobacco, basic metals, miscellaneous manufactures and transport equipment registered double-digit increases for both series (see Annex 2-A).
YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES OF VALUE OF NET SALES
TOTAL MANUFACTURING
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
7.9
|
8.2
|
1985-based
|
6.8
|
8.5
|
· Volume of net sales declined in the 1994-based series
The volume of net sales in August 2001 went down by 6.5 in the 1994-based series due to a decline in the electrical machinery sector. On the other hand, volume of net sales in the 1992-based series increased by 5.2 percent (see Fig. 6). Non-metallic mineral products, paper and paper products and rubber products registered double-digit decreases for both series (see Annex 2-B).
YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES OF VOLUME OF NET SALES
TOTAL MANUFACTURING
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
-6.5
|
-7.4
|
1992-based
|
5.2
|
3.9
|
· Producer's price index continued to post increases
Producer price index (PPI) for total manufacturing increased by 12.7 percent and 2.4 percent in the 1994 and 1992-based series, respectively. Double-digit year-on-year increases for both series were observed in the following sectors: tobacco, publishing and printing, glass and glass products, cement, and fabricated metal products.
YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH RATES OF PRODUCER�S PRICE INDEX
TOTAL MANUFACTURING
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
12.7
|
14.3
|
1992-based
|
2.4
|
3.2
|
· Capacity Utilization
The proportions of responding establishments that operated at full capacity (90%-100%) in August 2001 were 23.5 percent and 23.7 percent in the 1994 and 1985-based series, respectively. About 38.1 percent of the responding establishments operated at 70%-89% capacity in the 1994-based series, lower by 1.5 percentage points in the 1985-based series at 39.6 percent. On the other hand, those operating below 70% capacity utilization accounted for 38.3 percent and 36.7 percent in the 1994-based and 1985-based series, respectively.
DISTRIBUTION OF KEY MANUFACTURING ESTABLISHMENTS
BY CAPACITY UTILIZATION (In percent) TOTAL MANUFACTURING, AUGUST 2001
Capacity Utilization
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Below 50%
|
12.2
|
12.2
|
50% � 59%
|
9.6
|
10.1
|
60% - 69%
|
16.5
|
14.4
|
70% - 79%
|
18.7
|
20.9
|
80% - 89%
|
19.4
|
18.7
|
90% - 100%
|
23.5
|
23.7
|
Average capacity utilization rate for August 2001 for total manufacturing was estimated at 78.6 percent in the 1994-based, 0.7 percentage point lower than the 79.3 percent in the 1985-based. The sectors that posted more than 80% capacity utilization rates for both series were tobacco, textile, furniture and fixtures, rubber products and petroleum products (see Annex 3-A).
AVERAGE CAPACITY UTILIZATION FOR TOTAL MANUFACTURING
(In percent)
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
78.6
|
79.3
|
1985-based
|
79.3
|
79.4
|
· Response Rates (1994-based and 1985-based series)
In August 2001, the response rates in the 1994-based and 1985-based series were 82.1 percent and 83.4 percent, respectively.
RESPONSE RATES FOR TOTAL MANUFACTURING
(In percent)
Series
|
August 2001
|
July 2001
|
1994-based
|
82.1
|
91.0
|
1985-based
|
83.4
|
92.7
|
ANNEX 1-A
VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST 2001
Gainers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Petroleum Products
|
30.8
|
30.8
|
Chemical Products
|
24.5
|
28.1
|
Food Manufacturing
|
10.7
|
3.4
|
Transport Equipment
|
21.0
|
32.0
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
35.1
|
22.1
|
Basic Metals
|
16.6
|
12.3
|
Electrical Machinery
|
5.4
|
1.8
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
45.2
|
n.a.
|
Tobacco
|
11.9
|
11.9
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
22.1
|
n.a.
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
3.0
|
n.a.
|
Leather Products*
|
70.4
|
n.a.
|
Wood Products
|
4.4
|
-16.8
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
0.9
|
3.2
|
Losers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Beverage
|
-14.3
|
-15.3
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
-24.2
|
-24.5
|
Textile
|
- 7.0
|
- 9.4
|
Rubber Products
|
-24.4
|
-23.8
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
- 5.9
|
2.1
|
Fabricated Metal Products*
|
- 1.1
|
n.a.
|
Gainers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Petroleum Products
|
20.3
|
20.3
|
Chemical Products
|
15.8
|
27.7
|
Electrical Machinery
|
12.9
|
16.3
|
Transport Equipment
|
21.2
|
27.2
|
Food Manufacturing
|
4.9
|
- 2.1
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
31.6
|
n.a.
|
Tobacco
|
9.6
|
9.6
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
8.2
|
7.1
|
Textile
|
6.8
|
7.2
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
5.2
|
n.a.
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
6.4
|
6.5
|
Rubber Products
|
4.0
|
3.7
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
0.1
|
n.a.
|
ANNEX 1-A
VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST 2001(concluded)
Losers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Basic Metals
|
-10.0
|
- 2.2
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
- 9.6
|
-10.1
|
Fabricated Metal Products*
|
- 5.8
|
n.a.
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
- 8.0
|
- 2.9
|
Beverage
|
- 1.3
|
- 1.3
|
Leather Products*
|
- 8.1
|
n.a.
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
- 0.9
|
- 1.3
|
Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based August 2001 growth rate. Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1. Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.
ANNEX 1-B
VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST 2001
Gainers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
59.7
|
n.a.
|
Petroleum Products
|
19.8
|
21.8
|
Food Manufacturing
|
11.4
|
10.8
|
Chemical Products
|
15.2
|
20.2
|
Transport Equipment
|
11.3
|
23.1
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
15.7
|
3.9
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
31.4
|
n.a.
|
Leather Products*
|
146.2
|
n.a.
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
5.4
|
-17.5
|
Losers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Beverage
|
-26.3
|
-13.5
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
-30.6
|
-29.0
|
Textile
|
-15.4
|
- 8.6
|
Electrical Machinery
|
-26.9
|
4.8
|
Fabricated Metals*
|
-11.8
|
n.a.
|
Tobacco
|
- 6.6
|
- 2.6
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
-15.7
|
n.a.
|
Rubber Products
|
-27.7
|
-23.6
|
Basic Metals
|
- 2.8
|
6.2
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
- 9.2
|
-35.8
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
-14.9
|
1.0
|
Gainers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Petroleum Products
|
20.9
|
21.0
|
Chemical Products
|
17.3
|
29.8
|
Transport Equipment
|
21.1
|
26.8
|
Food Manufacturing
|
4.4
|
- 1.9
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
31.6
|
n.a.
|
Tobacco
|
9.6
|
9.6
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
7.0
|
5.5
|
Textile
|
7.3
|
7.2
|
Electrical Machinery
|
13.4
|
14.8
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
1.2
|
n.a.
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
7.7
|
6.5
|
Rubber Products
|
4.0
|
3.7
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
1.8
|
n.a.
|
ANNEX 1-B
VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST 2001 (concluded)
Losers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Basic Metals
|
-10.0
|
- 1.5
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
-10.1
|
-10.6
|
Fabricated Metals*
|
- 5.7
|
n.a.
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
- 6.9
|
- 2.8
|
Beverage
|
- 1.3
|
- 1.3
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
- 2.1
|
- 1.3
|
Leather Products*
|
-13.7
|
n.a.
|
Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based August 2001 growth rate. Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1. Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.
ANNEX 2-A
VALUE OF NET SALES, AUGUST 2001
Gainers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Petroleum Products
|
22.3
|
22.3
|
Food Manufacturing
|
11.8
|
12.1
|
Tobacco
|
60.9
|
60.9
|
Basic Metals
|
30.1
|
32.6
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
14.0
|
13.5
|
Transport Equipment
|
10.2
|
12.0
|
Chemical Products
|
4.6
|
23.8
|
Leather Products*
|
79.7
|
n.a.
|
Fabricated Metal Products*
|
3.4
|
n.a.
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
3.6
|
-26.7
|
Losers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
-17.1
|
n.a.
|
Electrical Machinery
|
- 4.3
|
- 5.2
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
-14.3
|
-12.6
|
Beverage
|
- 7.3
|
1.5
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
-28.9
|
n.a.
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
-21.2
|
n.a.
|
Textile
|
- 8.1
|
-10.2
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
-25.4
|
- 6.3
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
- 6.7
|
- 9.1
|
Rubber Products
|
-18.3
|
-15.2
|
Gainers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Petroleum Products
|
12.8
|
12.8
|
Food Manufacturing
|
7.4
|
8.7
|
Transport Equipment
|
17.2
|
15.2
|
Tobacco
|
26.1
|
26.1
|
Electrical Machinery
|
4.7
|
4.8
|
Beverage
|
8.3
|
16.6
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
6.0
|
- 2.1
|
Textile
|
10.0
|
7.0
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
8.9
|
n.a.
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
3.2
|
4.4
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
2.2
|
n.a.
|
Rubber Products
|
9.0
|
8.3
|
ANNEX 2-A
VALUE OF NET SALES, AUGUST 2001 (concluded)
Losers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
Basic Metals
|
-15.1
|
-14.1
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
-48.9
|
n.a.
|
Fabricated Metal Products*
|
-28.2
|
n.a.
|
Chemical Products
|
- 4.4
|
4.5
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
- 6.8
|
- 6.3
|
Leather Products*
|
-34.4
|
n.a.
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
- 3.9
|
6.3
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
- 2.3
|
0.4
|
Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based August 2001 growth rate. Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous year same month value of net sales less 1. Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous month value of net sales less 1.
ANNEX 2-B
VOLUME OF NET SALES, AUGUST 2001
Gainers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Food Manufacturing
|
12.4
|
20.2
|
Petroleum Products
|
12.0
|
13.9
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
28.6
|
n.a.
|
Tobacco
|
34.3
|
40.0
|
Basic Metals
|
5.5
|
31.8
|
Leather Products*
|
159.7
|
n.a.
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
14.8
|
-28.6
|
Transport Equipment
|
2.1
|
4.5
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
4.8
|
-27.3
|
Losers
|
Year-on-Year Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Electrical Machinery
|
-33.1
|
- 2.4
|
Beverage
|
-20.3
|
3.6
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
-24.2
|
-25.6
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
-45.6
|
n.a.
|
Textile
|
-16.2
|
- 9.4
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
-35.6
|
n.a.
|
Chemical Products
|
- 3.6
|
16.2
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
-14.8
|
-14.6
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
-30.4
|
- 8.4
|
Rubber Products
|
-21.8
|
-15.0
|
Fabricated Metal Products*
|
- 7.7
|
n.a.
|
Gainers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Petroleum Products
|
13.4
|
13.4
|
Food Manufacturing
|
6.8
|
8.9
|
Transport Equipment
|
17.2
|
14.9
|
Tobacco
|
26.1
|
26.1
|
Electrical Machinery
|
5.2
|
3.5
|
Beverage
|
8.3
|
16.6
|
Textile
|
10.5
|
7.1
|
Footwear & Wearing Apparel*
|
3.3
|
n.a.
|
Miscellaneous Manufactures
|
7.9
|
- 2.0
|
Non-Metallic Mineral Products
|
2.0
|
4.4
|
Publishing & Printing*
|
5.3
|
n.a.
|
Rubber Products
|
9.0
|
8.3
|
ANNEX 2-B
VOLUME OF NET SALES, AUGUST 2001(concluded)
Losers
|
Month-on-Month Growth (%)
|
1994-based
|
1992-based
|
Basic Metals
|
-15.1
|
-14.2
|
Machinery Excluding Electrical*
|
-48.9
|
n.a.
|
Fabricated Metal Products*
|
-28.2
|
n.a.
|
Chemical Products
|
- 3.2
|
6.2
|
Paper & Paper Products
|
- 7.4
|
- 6.9
|
Leather Products*
|
-38.3
|
n.a.
|
Wood & Wood Products
|
- 3.5
|
0.4
|
Furniture & Fixtures
|
- 2.9
|
6.3
|
Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based August 2001 growth rate. Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous year same month volume of net sales less 1. Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous month volume of net sales less 1.
ANNEX 3-A
AVERAGE CAPACITY UTILIZATION BY MAJOR SECTOR, AUGUST 2001
SECTOR
|
1994-based
|
1985-based
|
MANUFACTURING
|
78.6
|
79.3
|
FOOD MANUFACTURING
|
77.2
|
79.6
|
BEVERAGE
|
77.0
|
76.7
|
TOBACCO
|
82.0
|
85.4
|
TEXTILE
|
80.8
|
81.4
|
FOOTWEAR & WEARING APPAREL*
|
74.9
|
n.a
|
WOOD & WOOD PRODUCTS
|
78.8
|
73.2
|
FURNITURE & FIXTURES
|
88.7
|
89.0
|
PAPER & PAPER PRODUCTS
|
80.1
|
79.5
|
PUBLISHING & PRINTING*
|
84.2
|
n.a.
|
LEATHER PRODUCTS*
|
44.5
|
n.a.
|
CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
|
74.7
|
79.0
|
RUBBER PRODUCTS
|
83.9
|
83.6
|
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
|
87.8
|
87.9
|
NON-METALLIC MINERAL PRODUCTS
|
78.8
|
80.8
|
BASIC METALS
|
64.3
|
65.1
|
FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS*
|
79.3
|
n.a.
|
MACHINERY EXCLUDING ELECTRICAL*
|
94.9
|
n.a.
|
TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT
|
73.6
|
74.1
|
ELECTRICAL MACHINERY
|
77.9
|
77.3
|
MISC. MANUFACTURES
|
78.0
|
76.7
|
Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
|