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Release Date :
Reference Number :
2004-091

   

Total Manufacturing

      October 2004      

      September 2004      

  Year-on-Year Growth

 

      Production Index

 

            Value(VaPI)

14.0

13.6r

            Volume(VoPI)

9.0

6.8r

      Net Sales Index

 

 

            Value

13.6

12.5r

            Volume

2.7

-1.0r

      Producer�s Price Index

4.6

6.3r

  Average Capacity Utilization          

80.1

80.0

 

               r -revised

·  Value of Production Index (VaPI) continues to gain

The Value of Production Index (VaPI) for the manufacturing industry on a year-on-year basis grew by 14.0 percent in October 2004, compared with year ago figure, according to the preliminary results of the Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI). Major sources of increase were observed in the following sectors: leather products, non-metallic mineral products, rubber products, wood and wood products, paper and paper products, publishing and printing, transport equipment, fabricated metal products, chemical products, footwear and wearing apparel, basic metals, furniture and fixtures and food manufacturing. Refer to Tables 1-A and 1.

Likewise, VaPI on a month-on-month basis slightly increased by 2.2 percent in October 2004. Sectors that significantly contributed to the increase were non-metallic mineral products, basic metals, leather products, machinery excluding electrical and tobacco. Refer to Tables 1-A and 1.

·  Volume of Production Index (VoPI) posts higher growth

Volume of Production Index (VoPI) continued to increase as it posted 9.0 percent growth in October 2004. Significant increment of 70.2 percent was brought about by leather products. Other sectors which also registered double-digit increases were non-metallic mineral products, electrical machinery, wood and wood products, publishing and printing, rubber products, furniture and fixtures, paper and paper products, transport equipment and beverage. Refer to Tables 2 and 1-B.

On a month-on-month basis, VoPI in October 2004 slowed down to 1.9 percent compared to previous month�s increase of 8.8 percent. Sectors that contributed to the increase were non-metallic mineral products, basic metals, leather products, machinery excluding electrical and tobacco. Refer to Tables 2 and 1-B.

·  Value of Net Sales continues to grow

Value of Net Sales in October increased by 13.6 percent compared to a year ago figure. Major contributors to the increase were the following: non-metallic mineral products, rubber products, wood and wood products, transport equipment, textile, petroleum products, beverage, electrical machinery, fabricated metal products, food manufacturing, chemical products, paper and paper products, basic metals and publishing and printing. Refer to Tables 2-A and 3.

Likewise, Value of Net Sales on a month-on-month basis posted an increase of 2.7 percent in October 2004. Sectors that contributed to the increase were non-metallic mineral products, leather products, machinery excluding electrical and miscellaneous manufactures. Refer to Tables 2-A and 3.

·  Volume of Net Sales picks up

Volume of Net Sales, on a year-on-year basis, rose to 2.7 percent in October 2004. Sectors that exhibited double-digit increase were the following: electrical machinery, non-metallic mineral products, rubber products, wood and wood products, beverage, transport equipment, furniture and fixtures and publishing and printing. Refer to Tables 2-B and 4.

On a monthly basis, Volume of Net Sales registered a slower rate increase of 2.2 percent in October 2004. Double-digit increases were registered by the following sectors: non-metallic mineral products, leather products, machinery excluding electrical and miscellaneous manufactures. Refer to Tables 2-B and 4.

·  Producer�s Price Index (PPI) still on the uptrend

The Producer�s Price Index (PPI) for total manufacturing on a year-on-year comparison posted an increase of 4.6 percent in October 2004. Sectors with double-digit increases were observed in the following: footwear and wearing apparel, petroleum products, basic metals, tobacco, food manufacturing, non-metallic mineral products, fabricated metal products and chemical products. Refer to Table 5..

Moreover, PPI on a month-on-month comparison moved up by 0.4 percent in October 2004. Sectors which contributed to the increase were the following: paper and paper products; fabricated metal products, wood and wood products and furniture and fixtures. Refer to Table 5.

·  Capacity Utilization

Average capacity utilization in October 2004 for total manufacturing was estimated at 80.1 percent. Sectors that posted more than 80% capacity utilization rates were the following: machinery excluding electrical, paper and paper products, electrical machinery, miscellaneous manufactures, petroleum products, basic metals, leather products, rubber products, chemical products and food manufacturing. Refer to Table 6..

The proportion of establishments that operated at full capacity (90%-100%) in October 2004 was 14.5 percent. More than half or 54.1 percent of the establishments operated at 70%-89% capacity and 31.4 percent of the establishments operated below 70% capacity.

Distribution of Key Manufacturing Establishments by Capacity Utilization
Total Manufacturing, October 2004

(In percent)

            Capacity Utilization            

         Percent Share         

Below 50 percent

6.7

50 percent - 59 percent

8.7

60 percent - 69 percent

16.0

70 percent - 79 percent

22.9

80 percent - 89 percent

31.2

90 percent - 100 percent

14.5

 

·  Response Rate

The response rate for October 2004 is 87.9 percent, which corresponds to the retrieval of 473 sample establishments� reports. Refer to Table 7.

Response Rates for Total Manufacturing
(In percent)

          October 2004          

          September 2004          
(revised)

87.9

95.9

 

·  Technical Notes

Starting 2004, weights for the Producer�s Price Index (PPI) are based from the results of the 2000 Census of Philippine Business and Industry (CPBI) for establishments with average total employment (ATE) of 20 and over. Reference year for the 2000 CPBI is 1999. Refer to Press Release on Revision of 2004 PPI weights..

Data of non-responding sample establishments are estimated based on previous records and other available sources. Revisions to the preliminary estimates are done upon receipt of actual reports of late respondents.
 

 

                                                                                                    (Sgd.) CARMELITA N. ERICTA
                                                                                                    Administrator


TABLE 1-A. VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, September - October 2004
(1994 =100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Food Manufacturing

14.1

27.5

Chemical Products

20.8

16.3

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

53.8

33.0

Transport Equipment

28.1

13.6

Petroleum Products

8.6

-4.1

Basic Metals

16.4

-1.9

Electrical Machinery

8.2

41.0

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

20.8

17.9

Paper and Paper Products

29.8

39.8

Beverage

9.7

11.8

Fabricated Metal Products*

24.1

8.1

Publishing and Printing*

28.8

29.7

Wood and Wood Products

31.7

0.1

Rubber Products

35.0

59.1

Textile

7.0

3.9

Leather Products*

72.6

19.7

Furniture and Fixtures

15.3

30.5

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-5.7

-2.8

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-3.8

-20.5

Tobacco

-0.7

-2.6

 

TABLE 1-A. VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, September - October 2004
(concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Basic Metals

17.4

6.4

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

24.2

12.1

Tobacco

12.8

4.8

Beverage

3.4

16.1

Transport Equipment

3.0

0.7

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

12.8

-9.6

Chemical Products

1.3

8.6

Petroleum Products

1.1

16.9

Wood and Wood Products

5.5

-2.8

Miscellaneous Manufactures

4.8

-0.1

Fabricated Metal Products*

2.2

3.3

Publishing and Printing*

2.9

-0.8

Leather Products*

13.3

-26.4

Rubber Products

1.6

2.1

 

Losers

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

-3.2

14.6

Food Manufacturing

-0.8

7.6

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

-1.7

23.0

Paper and Paper Products

-1.1

12.1

Textile

-0.5

0.9

Furniture and Fixtures

-1.8

11.4

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based October 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.

TABLE 1-B. VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, September - October 2004
(1994 = 100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

31.0

52.8

Transport Equipment

20.8

6.9

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

34.0

16.7

Chemical Products

8.5

3.7

Beverage

16.4

18.6

Paper and Paper Products

27.1

43.4

Publishing and Printing*

28.8

29.7

Wood and Wood Products

31.0

7.2

Rubber Products

28.4

51.7

Furniture and Fixtures

27.6

45.4

Fabricated Metal Products*

8.2

-1.0

Leather Products*

70.2

17.4

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Petroleum Products

-19.3

-28.6

Basic Metals

-13.3

-26.4

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

-14.4

-19.0

Food Manufacturing

-3.2

7.5

Tobacco

-18.9

-20.5

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-7.5

-23.5

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-8.6

-4.9

Textile

-1.9

-5.8

 

TABLE 1-B. VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, September - October 2004
(concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Basic Metals

16.1

3.9

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

22.3

10.9

Tobacco

12.8

4.8

Chemical Products

2.4

7.7

Beverage

3.4

16.2

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

12.8

-9.6

Transport Equipment

2.9

1.5

Miscellaneous Manufactures

4.5

-0.8

Publishing and Printing*

2.9

-0.8

Wood and Wood Products

2.1

-2.8

Leather Products*

14.0

-26.4

Rubber Products

1.4

2.1

 

Losers

          Month-on-Month Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

-3.3

13.7

Paper and Paper Products

-6.7

11.7

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

-2.5

23.0

Food Manufacturing

-0.5

6.9

Petroleum Products

-0.5

13.0

Fabricated Metal Products*

-2.7

3.3

Furniture and Fixtures

-2.7

11.1

Textile

-0.1

0.4

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based October 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.

TABLE 2-A. VALUE OF NET SALES, September - October 2004
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Food Manufacturing

11.6

22.1

Petroleum Products

16.9

14.7

Non-metallic Mineral Products

48.2

24.1

Electrical Machinery

13.9

-12.0

Transport Equipment

24.0

21.4

Chemical Products

11.5

12.8

Beverage

15.2

8.5

Basic Metals

11.2

33.9

Textile

18.3

12.0

Wood and Wood Products

26.6

28.9

Rubber Products

34.0

46.5

Fabricated Metal Products*

12.4

0.7

Paper and Paper Products

11.2

18.7

Publishing and Printing*

10.1

-16.6

Furniture and Fixtures

1.2

19.8

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Footwear & Wearing Apparel*

-7.7

-1.2

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-7.1

-19.9

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-5.3

-15.8

Leather Products*

-28.7

79.5

Tobacco

-0.8

6.6

 

TABLE 2-A. VALUE OF NET SALES, September - October 2004 (concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Non-metallic Mineral Products

43.4

11.0

Electrical Machinery

6.6

17.5

Basic Metals

7.4

-5.8

Petroleum Products

3.4

6.7

Beverage

4.5

18.9

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

15.0

-9.3

Miscellaneous Manufactures

12.2

-9.7

Fabricated Metal Products*

7.1

4.8

Tobacco

2.9

21.7

Rubber Products

7.9

2.8

Publishing and Printing*

3.4

9.4

Footwear & Wearing Apparel*

0.9

11.8

Wood and Wood Products

2.6

6.9

Leather Products*

17.3

-26.2

Textile

0.2

-1.9

 

Losers

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Food Manufacturing

-4.4

10.0

Chemical Products

-4.4

7.0

Transport Equipment

-1.8

5.1

Paper and Paper Products

-4.5

1.4

Furniture and Fixtures

-0.1

12.0

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based October 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous year same month value of net sales less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous month value of net sales less 1.

TABLE 2-B. VOLUME OF NET SALES, September - October 2004
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

37.9

-4.7

Beverage

22.2

15.1

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

29.2

8.8

Transport Equipment

17.0

14.3

Wood and Wood Products

25.9

37.9

Textile

8.4

1.6

Rubber Products

27.6

39.7

Paper and Paper Products

8.9

21.8

Publishing and Printing*

10.1

-16.6

Furniture and Fixtures

12.0

33.5

Chemical Products

0.2

0.6

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

     

 

Petroleum Products

-13.1

-14.5

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

-34.6

-32.1

Basic Metals

-17.2

1/

Food Manufacturing

-5.3

3.0

Tobacco

-19.0

-13.1

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-10.7

-23.0

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-8.1

-17.6

Leather Products*

-29.8

75.9

Fabricated Metal Products*

-2.0

-7.8

 

TABLE 2-B. VOLUME OF NET SALES, September - October 2004 (concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

41.2

9.9

Electrical Machinery

6.4

16.6

Basic Metals

6.3

-8.1

Beverage

4.5

19.0

Petroleum Products

1.8

3.1

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

15.0

-9.3

Miscellaneous Manufactures

11.9

-10.4

Tobacco

2.9

21.7

Rubber Products

7.7

2.8

Publishing and Printing*

3.4

9.4

Fabricated Metal Products*

2.0

4.8

Leather Products*

18.0

-26.2

Textile

0.6

-2.3

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

0.1

11.7

 

Losers

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

October 2004

September 2004
(revised)

 

Food Manufacturing

-4.2

9.2

Chemical Products

-3.4

6.0

Paper and Paper Products

-9.9

1.1

Transport Equipment

-2.0

5.9

Wood and Wood Products

-0.7

6.9

Furniture and Fixtures

-1.0

11.7

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based October 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth ratesare computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous year same month volume of net sales less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous month volume of net sales less 1.


Source:   National Statistics Office
                 Manila, Philippines

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