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Release Date :
Reference Number :
2002-191

TOTAL MANUFACTURING September 2002 August 2002
YEAR-ON-YEAR GROWTH  
      Production Index  
            Value(VaPI) - 0.6 - 7.8r
            Volume(VoPI) - 4.9 - 11.5r
      Net Sales Index    
            Value 7.4 - 4.9r
            Volume 1.9 -9.2r
      Producer Price Index 4.5 4.1r
AVERAGE CAPACITY UTILIZATION 75.8 74.6r

                                           

  • Value of Production Index (VaPI) continues to drop

Value of Production Index (VaPI) of the manufacturing industry continued to decline at a slower rate of 0.6 percent in September 2002 compared with year ago figure, according to the preliminary results of the Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI). Significant decreases were observed in the following sectors: basic metals, machinery excluding electrical, furniture and fixtures and paper and paper products (see Table 1-A).

On a month-on-month basis, VaPI's performance improved by 3.6 percent compared to the previous month's figure of 0.3 percent. Sectors that contributed most to the increase were petroleum products and beverage (see Table 1-A).

  • Volume of Production Index (VoPI) continues its downtrend

Volume of Production Index (VoPI) followed a similar trend as VaPI as it fell to 4.9 percent in September 2002 on a year-on-year basis. Significant decreases were observed in the following sectors: basic metals, machinery excluding electrical, paper and paper products, publishing and printing, and furniture and fixtures (see Table 1-B).

On a monthly basis, VoPI registered an increment of 3.2 percent due to the growth exhibited by the two (2) sectors, namely: petroleum products and beverage (see Table 1-B).

Figure 1

Figure 2

  • Value of Net Sales gains

Year-on-year growth in value of net sales made a turnaround increase of 7.4 percent in September 2002 from a decline of 4.9 percent in the previous month. Major sources of increase were from ten sectors: leather products, machinery excluding electrical, rubber products, fabricated metal products, footwear and wearing apparel, textile, tobacco, food manufacturing, electrical machinery and publishing and printing (see Table 2-A).

On a monthly basis, value of net sales gained momentum of 5.7 percent in September 2002, offsetting the previous month's decline of 1.3 percent. Significant increases were contributed by the following sectors: electrical machinery, beverage and footwear and wearing apparel (see Table 2-A).

Figure 3

  • Net Sales Volume picks up

Net sales volume grew by 1.9 percent in September 2002 on a year-on-year basis from a decline of 9.2 percent in the previous month. The turnaround was due to the resulting growth in the following sectors: leather products, rubber products, machinery excluding electrical, textile, fabricated metal products, footwear and wearing apparel, tobacco and food manufacturing (see Table 2-B).

On a month-on-month basis, volume of net sales managed a growth of 5.3 percent from a decline of 2.3 percent in August 2002. This was brought about by significant increases in beverage, electrical machinery and footwear and wearing apparel sectors (see Table 2-B).

  • Producer's Price Index (PPI) continues to increase

The Producer Price Index for total manufacturing registered a year-on-year increase of 4.5 percent in September 2002. Double-digit increases were registered by the following sectors: publishing and printing (26.7%); wood and wood products (22.7%); beverage (13.7%) and footwear and wearing apparel (10.1%) (see Table 5).

On a month-on-month basis, PPI for total manufacturing went up, but slower by 0.4 percent. Increases were posted by the following sectors: wood and wood products, electrical machinery, basic metals, petroleum products, furniture and fixtures, transport equipment, beverage, leather products, chemical products, food manufacturing and textile (see Table 5).

Figure 4

  • Capacity Utilization

For September 2002, average capacity utilization was estimated at 75.8 percent for total manufacturing. Sectors with more than 80% capacity utilization rate were the following: petroleum products, miscellaneous manufactures, fabricated metal products, rubber products, machinery excluding electrical, beverage, paper and paper products and tobacco (see Table 6).

The proportion of responding establishments that operated at full capacity (90%-100%) in September 2002 was 20.9 percent. About 39.2 percent of the responding establishments operated at 70%-89% capacity and 39.9 percent of the establishments operated below 70% capacity.

DISTRIBUTION OF KEY MANUFACTURING ESTABLISHMENTS
BY CAPACITY UTILIZATION
TOTAL MANUFACTURING, SEPTEMBER 2002

(In percent)

Capacity Utilization 1994-based
Below 50% 12.4
50% - 59% 11.9
60% - 69% 15.6
70% - 79% 17.7
80% - 89% 21.5
90% - 100% 20.9

  • Response Rate

For September 2002, the response rate is 86.2 percent, which corresponds to the retrieval of 500 sample establishments' reports (see Table 7).

RESPONSE RATES FOR TOTAL MANUFACTURING
(In percent)

September 2002 August 2002
(revised)
86.2 94.1

  (Sgd.) CARMELITA N. ERICTA
Administrator

TABLE 1-A. VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002
(1994 =100)

Gainers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Food Manufacturing 6.3 0.3
Non-Metallic Mineral Products 25.9 29.1
Beverage 11.8 2.2
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* 12.5 3.8
Electrical Machinery 3.3 12.6
Tobacco 11.0 7.0
Textile 8.7 24.9
Wood & Wood Products 20.1 14.1
Fabricated Metal Products* 11.5 13.7
Publishing & Printing* 9.7 -0.3
Transport Equipment 1.1 -11.2
Leather Products* 6.6 12.0
Losers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -33.5 -16.5
Petroleum Products -4.8 -33.8
Chemical Products -3.9 -9.7
Machinery Excluding Electrical* -26.6 -28.1
Paper & Paper Products -12.1 -10.8
Furniture & Fixtures -12.2 -5.1
Rubber Products -5.2 -8.7
Miscellaneous Manufactures -2.8 -11.0

TABLE 1-A. VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002 (concluded)

Gainers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Petroleum Products 39.1 -8.3
Beverage 22.2 -12.6
Non-Metallic Mineral Products 2.8 13.7
Fabricated Metal Products* 3.9 5.3
Machinery Excluding Electrical* 3.5 14.2
Miscellaneous Manufactures 2.5 3.1
Losers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -15.5 2.9
Chemical Products -7.8 5.3
Electrical Machinery -5.9 2.9
Food Manufacturing -2.6 7.9
Tobacco -4.9 -31.6
Transport Equipment -1.3 -4.6
Furniture & Fixtures -11.6 20.7
Wood & Wood Products -6.2 13.6
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* -0.9 3.6
Leather Products* -18.1 3.6
Paper & Paper Products -1.2 3.7
Textile -0.5 11.7
Rubber Products -1.7 10.5
Publishing & Printing* -0.5 -0.3

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2002 growth rate.
Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1.
Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.

TABLE 1-B. VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002
(1994 = 100)

Gainers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Non-Metallic Mineral Products 38.2 34.9
Textile 10.0 26.0
Food Manufacturing 1.5 -4.1
Fabricated Metal Products* 8.4 10.4
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* 2.1 -6.1
Tobacco 2.6 -1.1
Leather Products* 23.2 30.1
Losers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -35.0 -17.8
Petroleum Products -8.7 -35.9
Chemical Products -7.8 -12.9
Transport Equipment -6.7 -18.0
Machinery Excluding Electrical* -26.7 -28.1
Paper & Paper Products -16.0 -16.0
Publishing & Printing* -13.4 -21.3
Beverage -1.7 -9.7
Furniture & Fixtures -11.8 -3.3
Electrical Machinery -5.3 5.2
Wood & Wood Products -2.1 -4.8
Miscellaneous Manufactures -0.8 -8.9
Rubber Products -0.4 -4.1

TABLE 1-B. VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002(concluded)

Gainers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Petroleum Products 37.8 -13.7
Beverage 21.6 -13.2
Non-Metallic Mineral Products 9.1 18.9
Fabricated Metal Products* 3.9 5.3
Machinery Excluding Electrical* 3.5 14.2
Miscellaneous Manufactures 3.0 1.9
Losers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -16.6 2.9
Chemical Products -8.2 5.1
Food Manufacturing -3.0 7.5
Tobacco -4.9 -31.6
Transport Equipment -1.9 -4.3
Wood & Wood Products -8.4 0.1
Electrical Machinery -7.2 1.3
Furniture & Fixtures -12.3 20.0
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* -0.9 4.4
Leather Products* -18.5 3.6
Textile -0.8 11.7
Paper & Paper Products -0.8 2.4
Rubber Products -1.7 10.5
Publishing & Printing* -0.5 -0.3

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2002 growth rate.
Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1.
Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.

TABLE 2-A. VALUE OF NET SALES, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002
(1994=100)

Gainers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Food Manufacturing 15.4 -9.7
Electrical Machinery 11.4 -11.3
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* 26.2 -2.8
Textile 22.2 31.4
Tobacco 21.0 -21.0
Fabricated Metal Products* 26.9 20.4
Machinery excluding Electrical* 31.2 27.4
Beverage 4.9 3.0
Chemical Products 2.2 -1.2
Rubber Products 27.2 27.2
Transport Equipment 2.3 -7.1
Publishing & Printing* 10.9 -21.7
Leather Products* 32.4 41.3
Miscellaneous Manufactures 3.6 -2.1
Wood & Wood Products 3.4 -10.7
Furniture & Fixtures 0.6 22.8
Losers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -18.0 1.3
Petroleum Products -2.1 -13.3
Non-metallic Mineral Products -5.8 -8.9
Paper & Paper Products -2.8 -3.7

TABLE 2-A. VALUE OF NET SALES, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002 (concluded)
(1994=100)

Gainers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Electrical Machinery 23.5 -23.7
Beverage 22.5 -3.0
Petroleum Products 9.2 -1.9
Chemical Products 6.9 -0.3
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* 17.7 7.4
Food Manufacturing 2.2 7.9
Machinery excluding Electrical* 7.6 12.2
Miscellaneous Manufactures 7.8 -0.8
Textile 1.8 10.5
Wood & Wood Products 4.7 -0.1
Paper & Paper Products 2.5 -3.8
Fabricated Metal Products* 1.6 2.7
Losers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -19.8 -12.6
Transport Equipment -5.8 -0.1
Furniture & Fixtures -21.8 22.5
Publishing & Printing* -9.2 -2.7
Tobacco -3.7 -2.5
Non-metallic Mineral Products -0.9 6.1
Rubber Products -2.2 19.4
Leather Products* -4.1 34.3

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2002 growth rate.
Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous year same month value of net sales less 1.
Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous month value of net sales less 1.

TABLE 2-B. VOLUME OF NET SALES, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002

Gainers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Food Manufacturing 10.2 -13.7
Textile 23.6 32.6
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* 14.6 -12.1
Fabricated Metal Products* 23.3 16.9
Machinery excluding Electrical* 31.1 27.4
Tobacco 11.8 -27.0
Electrical Machinery 2.2 -17.1
Rubber Products 33.6 33.6
Non-metallic Mineral Products 3.4 -4.7
Leather Products* 53.0 64.1
Miscellaneous Manufactures 5.7 0.2
Furniture & Fixtures 1.1 25.1
Losers Year-on-Year Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -19.9 -0.2
Petroleum Products -6.0 -16.0
Beverage -7.8 -9.0
Transport Equipment -5.6 -14.2
Chemical Products -1.9 -4.7
Wood & Wood Products -15.7 -25.5
Publishing & Printing* -12.5 -38.2
Paper & Paper Products -7.2 -9.4

TABLE 2-B. VOLUME OF NET SALES, AUGUST - SEPTEMBER 2002(concluded)
(1994=100)

Gainers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Electrical Machinery 21.8 -25.0
Beverage 21.9 -3.6
Petroleum Products 8.2 -7.7
Footwear & Wearing Apparel* 17.7 8.2
Chemical Products 6.4 -0.5
Food Manufacturing 1.7 7.5
Non-metallic Mineral Products 5.1 10.9
Machinery excluding Electrical* 7.6 12.2
Miscellaneous Manufactures 8.4 -2.0
Paper & Paper Products 2.9 -5.0
Textile 1.5 10.5
Fabricated Metal Products* 1.6 2.7
Wood & Wood Products 2.3 -12.0
Losers Month-on-Month Growth (%)
September August
(revised)
Basic Metals -20.8 -12.5
Transport Equipment -6.3 0.2
Furniture & Fixtures -22.4 21.8
Publishing & Printing* -9.2 -2.7
Tobacco -3.7 -2.5
Rubber Products -2.2 19.4
Leather Products* -4.6 34.3

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series
Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2002 growth rate.
Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous year same month volume of net sales less 1.
Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous month volume of net sales less 1.


Source: National Statistics Office
Manila, Philippines

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