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Release Date :
Reference Number :
2004-082

   

Total Manufacturing

      September 2004      

      August 2004      

  Year-on-Year Growth

 

      Production Index

 

            Value(VaPI)

13.9

3.2r

            Volume(VoPI)

7.2

-3.6r

      Net Sales Index

 

 

            Value

12.1

3.7r

            Volume

-1.1

-8.6r

      Producer�s Price Index

6.3

7.1r

  Average Capacity Utilization          

80.0

79.2r

 

                          r -revised

·  Value of Production Index (VaPI) surges

The Value of Production Index (VaPI) for the manufacturing industry on a year-on-year basis registered a double-digit increase of 13.9 percent in September 2004 from a single digit increase since April 2004, according to the preliminary results of the Monthly Integrated Survey of Selected Industries (MISSI). This was brought about by the significant increases posted by the following sectors: rubber products, electrical machinery, paper and paper products, non-metallic mineral products, furniture and fixtures, food manufacturing, publishing and printing, leather products, chemical products, footwear and wearing apparel, transport equipment and beverage. Refer to Tables 1-A and 1.

Likewise, VaPI on a month-on-month basis went up by 10.3 percent in September 2004. Sectors that significantly contributed to the increase were footwear and wearing apparel, electrical machinery, petroleum products, beverage, non-metallic mineral products and paper and paper products. Refer to Tables 1-A and 1.

·  Volume of Production Index (VoPI) bounces

Volume of Production Index (VoPI) made a turnaround and registered an increase of 7.2 percent in September 2004 compared to a year ago figure. Significant increases were observed in the following sectors: electrical machinery, rubber products, paper and paper products, furniture and fixtures, publishing and printing, beverage, leather products and non-metallic mineral products. Refer to Tables 1-B and 2.

Similarly, VoPI on a month-on-month basis posted an increment of 9.6 percent in September 2004. Sectors that exhibited double-digit increases were the following: footwear and wearing apparel, electrical machinery, beverage, petroleum products, paper and paper products and non-metallic mineral products. Refer to Tables 1-B and 2.

·  Value of Net Sales continues to post increments

On a year-on-year basis, Value of Net Sales increased by 12.1 percent in September 2004 brought about by significant increases in 12 sectors. These were the following: leather products, rubber products, basic metals, wood and wood products, non-metallic mineral products, food manufacturing, transport equipment, furniture and fixtures, paper and paper products, petroleum products, chemical products and textile. Refer to Tables 2-A and 3.

Furthermore, Value of Net Sales On a month-on-month basis posted an increase of 8.2 percent in September 2004. Sectors with double-digit increases were tobacco, beverage, electrical machinery, furniture and fixtures and non-metallic mineral products. Refer to Tables 2-A and 3.

·  Volume of Net Sales continues to exhibit negative trend

Volume of Net Sales, on a year-on-year basis, fell by 1.1 percent in September 2004. Sectors that registered double-digit decreases were the following: footwear and wearing apparel, machinery excluding electrical, miscellaneous manufactures, petroleum products, publishing and printing, tobacco and fabricated metals. Refer to Tables 2-B and 4.

However, on a month-on-month basis Volume of Net Sales registered a 7.2 percent increase in September 2004. Double-digit increases were registered by the following sectors: tobacco, beverage, electrical machinery, and furniture and fixtures. Refer to Tables 2-B and 4.

·  Producer�s Price Index (PPI) continues to increase but slower

The Producer�s Price Index (PPI) for total manufacturing on a year-on-year basis registered an increase of 6.3 percent in September 2004. Sectors that significantly contributed to the increment were the following: footwear and wearing apparel, petroleum products, basic metals, tobacco, food manufacturing, non-metallic mineral products, fabricated metal products, chemical products and textile. Refer to Table 5..

Moreover, PPI on a month-on-month comparison slightly went up by 0.7 percent in September 2004. Sectors that posted significant increases were the following: petroleum products, fabricated metal products, basic metals, non-metallic mineral products, electrical machinery, food manufacturing, textile and chemical products. Refer to Table 5.

·  Capacity Utilization

Average capacity utilization in September 2004 for total manufacturing was estimated at 80.0 percent. Sectors that posted more than 80% capacity utilization rates were the following: machinery excluding electrical, electrical machinery, paper and paper products, petroleum products, miscellaneous manufactures, leather products, rubber products, basic metals, chemical products and food manufacturing. Refer to Table 6..

The proportion of establishments that operated at full capacity (90%-100%) in September 2004 was 15.8 percent. More than half or 52.3 percent of the establishments operated at 70%-89% capacity and 31.9 percent of the establishments operated below 70% capacity.

Distribution of Key Manufacturing Establishments by Capacity Utilization
Total Manufacturing, September 2004

(In percent)

            Capacity Utilization            

         1994-based         

Below 50 percent

7.3

50 percent - 59 percent

8.5

60 percent - 69 percent

16.1

70 percent - 79 percent

22.9

80 percent - 89 percent

29.4

90 percent - 100 percent

15.8

 

·  Response Rate

The response rate for September 2004 is 91.1 percent, which corresponds to the retrieval of 490 sample establishments� reports. Refer to Table 7.

Response Rates for Total Manufacturing
(In percent)

          September 2004          

          August 2004          
(revised)

91.1

96.7

 

·  Technical Notes

Starting 2004, weights for the Producer�s Price Index (PPI) are based from the results of the 2000 Census of Philippine Business and Industry (CPBI) for establishments with average total employment (ATE) of 20 and over. Reference year for the 2000 CPBI is 1999. Refer to Press Release on Revision of 2004 PPI weights..

Data of non-responding sample establishments are estimated based on previous records and other available sources. Revisions to the preliminary estimates are done upon receipt of actual reports of late respondents.
 

 

                                                                                                    (Sgd.) CARMELITA N. ERICTA
                                                                                                    Administrator


TABLE 1-A. VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, August - September 2004
(1994 =100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

45.6

0.8

Food Manufacturing

27.3

9.6

Chemical Products

16.9

15.4

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

33.0

10.2

Transport Equipment

13.5

27.2

Paper and Paper Products

39.8

7.0

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

16.3

-12.1

Beverage

11.3

11.3

Rubber Products

59.1

35.6

Publishing and Printing*

22.3

4.0

Furniture and Fixtures

27.9

20.6

Fabricated Metal Products*

8.1

5.0

Textile

3.0

5.5

Leather Products*

19.7

-89.9

Wood and Wood Products

0.1

3.8

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Petroleum Products

-4.1

-7.7

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-20.5

-6.1

Basic Metals

-2.9

-1.8

Tobacco

-2.6

-40.4

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-2.0

1.6

 

TABLE 1-A. VALUE OF PRODUCTION INDEX, August - September 2004
(concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Petroleum Products

16.9

-14.1

Electrical Machinery

18.3

-1.2

Food Manufacturing

7.2

-4.3

Chemical Products

9.2

-0.8

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

21.3

-13.2

Beverage

15.6

-10.7

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

12.1

-27.4

Basic Metals

4.6

1.9

Paper and Paper Products

12.1

7.4

Tobacco

4.8

-16.3

Publishing and Printing*

9.7

-4.8

Fabricated Metal Products*

3.3

-11.4

Transport Equipment

0.7

1.1

Furniture and Fixtures

3.1

0.8

Rubber Products

2.7

0.7

Miscellaneous Manufactures

0.7

-3.0

Textile

0.0

4.1

 

Losers

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-9.6

8.1

Leather Products*

-26.4

-12.2

Wood and Wood Products

-2.8

6.0

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.

TABLE 1-B. VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, August - September 2004
(1994 = 100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

57.5

2.6

Food Manufacturing

7.5

-7.8

Beverage

18.1

17.6

Paper and Paper Products

43.9

10.2

Chemical Products

5.4

5.1

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

16.7

-3.7

Transport Equipment

6.9

18.9

Rubber Products

51.5

28.7

Furniture and Fixtures

42.4

34.6

Publishing and Printing*

22.3

4.0

Wood and Wood Products

7.2

10.8

Leather Products*

17.4

-90.1

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Petroleum Products

-28.6

-28.8

Basic Metals

-27.1

-24.4

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

-20.2

-39.0

Tobacco

-20.5

-51.3

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-23.5

-9.7

Textile

-6.6

-4.5

Fabricated Metal Products*

-4.2

-3.9

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-4.1

-0.3

 

TABLE 1-B. VOLUME OF PRODUCTION INDEX, August - September 2004
(concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

17.2

3.3

Petroleum Products

13.0

-16.9

Food Manufacturing

6.7

-4.6

Chemical Products

8.7

-4.3

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

21.3

-13.6

Beverage

15.8

-10.8

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

10.9

-26.8

Paper and Paper Products

12.1

6.7

Tobacco

4.8

-16.3

Basic Metals

2.1

1.5

Publishing and Printing*

9.7

-4.8

Transport Equipment

1.4

-1.0

Furniture and Fixtures

2.9

7.0

Rubber Products

2.7

0.4

Miscellaneous Manufactures

0.1

-2.1

Fabricated Metal Products*

0.0

-12.7

 

Losers

          Month-on-Month Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-9.6

8.0

Leather Products*

-26.4

-12.2

Wood and Wood Products

-2.8

6.5

Textile

-0.4

7.8

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous year same month index less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month index by previous month index less 1.

TABLE 2-A. VALUE OF NET SALES, August - September 2004
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Food Manufacturing

21.8

7.5

Basic Metals

33.3

28.8

Petroleum Products

14.7

6.6

Chemical Products

13.2

12.1

Transport Equipment

21.4

17.7

Non-metallic Mineral Products

24.1

5.0

Beverage

8.0

4.0

Textile

12.8

11.7

Paper and Paper Products

18.7

14.5

Rubber Products

47.2

32.8

Wood and Wood Products

28.9

-0.7

Tobacco

6.6

-27.5

Furniture and Fixtures

21.3

6.1

Leather Products*

79.5

128.6

Fabricated Metal Products*

0.7

3.4

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

-12.6

-22.7

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-19.9

-15.8

Footwear & Wearing Apparel*

-5.8

-11.3

Publishing and Printing*

-14.2

-22.0

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-16.2

-0.9

 

TABLE 2-A. VALUE OF NET SALES, August - September 2004 (concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

16.8

-10.2

Food Manufacturing

9.9

-2.8

Beverage

18.0

-8.3

Petroleum Products

6.7

3.7

Chemical Products

7.3

-0.6

Tobacco

21.7

-20.5

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

11.0

-7.0

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

6.8

-8.7

Transport Equipment

5.0

-4.1

Fabricated Metal Products*

4.8

-12.1

Furniture and Fixtures

13.2

-12.1

Wood and Wood Products

6.9

8.2

Publishing and Printing*

4.3

-4.4

Paper and Paper Products

1.4

3.1

Rubber Products

3.4

-5.7

 

Losers

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Basic Metals

-6.7

-2.2

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-9.3

5.0

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-10.2

-9.3

Textile

-1.3

2.6

Leather Products*

-26.2

-9.7

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous year same month value of net sales less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month value of net sales by previous month value of net sales less 1.

TABLE 2-B. VOLUME OF NET SALES, August - September 2004
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Transport Equipment

14.2

10.0

Beverage

14.6

9.9

Food Manufacturing

2.9

-9.5

Paper and Paper Products

22.2

18.0

Wood and Wood Products

37.9

5.9

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

8.8

-8.2

Rubber Products

40.1

25.9

Chemical Products

2.1

2.1

Furniture and Fixtures

35.0

18.3

Leather Products*

75.9

124.1

Textile

2.2

1.1

Basic Metals

0.0

-0.9

 

Losers

          Year-on-Year Growth (percent)          

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

     

 

Petroleum Products

-14.5

-17.7

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

-35.3

-38.5

Electrical Machinery

-5.5

-21.3

Tobacco

-13.1

-40.9

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-23.0

-19.1

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-18.0

-2.7

Fabricated Metal Products*

-10.8

-5.3

Publishing and Printing*

-14.2

-22.0

 

TABLE 2-B. VOLUME OF NET SALES, August - September 2004 (concluded)
(1994=100)

                            Gainers                            

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Electrical Machinery

15.7

-6.2

Food Manufacturing

9.4

-3.0

Beverage

18.2

-8.4

Chemical Products

6.9

-4.2

Tobacco

21.7

-20.5

Petroleum Products

3.1

0.3

Non-Metallic Mineral Products

9.9

-6.1

Transport Equipment

5.8

-6.1

Footwear and Wearing Apparel*

6.7

-9.1

Furniture and Fixtures

13.0

-6.7

Wood and Wood Products

6.9

8.6

Publishing and Printing*

4.3

-4.4

Paper and Paper Products

1.4

2.4

Fabricated Metal Products*

1.5

-13.4

Rubber Products

3.4

-6.0

 

Losers

      Month-on-Month Growth (percent)      

September 2004

August 2004
(revised)

 

Basic Metals

-8.9

-2.6

Machinery Excluding Electrical*

-9.3

4.9

Miscellaneous Manufactures

-10.7

-8.5

Textile

-1.7

6.2

Leather Products*

-26.2

-9.7

 

Note: * - new sectors in the 1994-based series

Sectors are ranked according to their contribution to the overall 1994-based September 2004 growth rate.

Year-on-year growth ratesare computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous year same month volume of net sales less 1.

Month-on-month growth rates are computed by dividing the current month volume of net sales by previous month volume of net sales less 1.


Source:   National Statistics Office
                 Manila, Philippines

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